Latest reflections
The big highlight this week has been the first influx of 2023 vacancies with some of the major accountancy and professional services firms like PwC, BDO, RSM, Mazars and Deloitte, along with a bulk posting of Retail Leadership vacancies with Morrisons. Some of these always pose problems for me in gaining a realistic sense of numbers and/or locations, but some detailed detective work and number-crunching has been surprisingly fruitful on this occasion and hats off to some of these firms for being quite transparent about their vacancies.
After I raised concerns about levelling up last week, there has been quite a surge in the South East, West Midlands, North West, East Midlands and Yorkshire & Humber. For once therefore, Greater London has not been stealing the show.
I also have to make judgments about whether some of these vacancies should count as Level 4/5 or Level 6/7. Life is full of such dilemmas! The way I now approach this is, if I detect a clear intention that apprentices will be expected or encouraged to progress all the way up the ladder to full professional status (subject to performance), then even though they might start for example with AAT or ATT I do now count them in my Level 6/7 numbers. There has therefore been quite a surge this week in Level 7 Accountancy/Tax/Audit Professionals in my occupational analyses.
Meanwhile, I haven’t forgotten Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland and I will be reporting on these soon. And with the West Midlands having a decent week, I’ve dusted down another of my Birmingham photos as my featured image.
Background
Since the first ‘lockdown’ started on Monday 23rd March 2020, I’ve kept a record of new higher and degree apprenticeship vacancies posted in England and in doing so have built up an evolving occupational and regional analysis. I largely use data extracted daily from the government’s ‘Find an Apprenticeship’ website, whilst also keeping a close eye on other national vacancy sources including NHS Jobs, Not Going to Uni and Rate My Apprenticeship.
I collated similar data for a period of 70 weeks prior to the March 2020 lockdown and my weekly headline data compares the pre-lockdown and post-lockdown figures, using the two 70-week periods either side of lockdown as a benchmark.
My target audience is Level 3 school and college leavers and those who influence and advise them. Therefore, I only include vacancies at Levels 4 to 7 that ‘work-ready’ 18/19-year-olds seeking their first permanent role could reasonably apply for, whether at the point of leaving school/college or after a few months of temporary experience. If more than a year’s permanent experience is clearly required, I don’t normally include the vacancy in my figures.
I would emphasise the term ‘work-ready’ because academic qualifications alone will never be enough to compete successfully for a higher or degree apprenticeship. Whilst a UCAS points score of 112 is the most frequently-quoted minimum entry requirement for DAs (sometimes more and quite often less), it’s otherwise much more about the skills, qualities and insights you can bring.
My data will never be fully reliable because not all vacancies are advertised nationally in a way that also gives an indication of actual numbers and locations. However, the analyses that I’ve built up paint an intriguing picture of what’s out there in a changing post-18 career landscape. The figures also suggest that there’s something of a mismatch between supply and demand in terms of volume (there aren’t enough to go around), location (my regional breakdown raises questions about ‘levelling up’) and the range of occupations available (which probably doesn’t align too well with student aspirations).
One further and slightly confusing factor to take into account is that it’s quite normal for some 18/19-year-old school/college leavers to apply for lower level apprenticeships too, especially at Level 3. It’s also true that a proportion of DA and HA opportunities will be snapped up by older applicants or even graduates and therefore work-readiness really matters to enable 18/19-year-olds to compete successfully.
Headline data
In England during the latest period from 26th September to 2nd October 2022 I recorded:
- 584 new Degree & L7 Apprenticeship vacancies and
- 96 new Higher Apprenticeship vacancies
In the 132 weeks since the start of the first COVID-19 lockdown (23rd March 2020 to 2nd October 2022) I’ve now recorded:
- 14,994 new Degree Apprenticeships (Levels 6/7) and
- 14,216 new Higher Apprenticeships (Levels 4/5)
- giving a total of 29,210
Using the 70 weeks either side of the initial lockdown (on 23/3/20) as a benchmark, my latest comparative figures are as follows:
- Weekly average in the 70 weeks before lockdown: 82 DAs + 71 HAs = 153 total
- Weekly average in the 70 weeks after lockdown: 84 DAs + 75 HAs = 159 total
- Weekly average in the 132 weeks since lockdown: 113 DAs + 108 HAs = 221 total
This shows that both DAs and HAs have more than fully recovered since the initial reductions in the early days of the pandemic. Whilst it’s fair to say that I’m being more thorough in the way I track down and monitor new vacancies than I was in pre-COVID days, I’ve definitely seen an upward trend in volume compared with how things looked two to three years ago. However, with the threat of recession looming, I’ll be keeping my eye very firmly on the ball in the coming weeks to see if there’s any sign of a slowdown.
Updated analysis by county and region
By county (loosely defined), the 29,210 higher and degree apprenticeships advertised in England since the start of lockdown have been distributed as follows:
- Greater London (7,763)
- Yorkshire (2,608)
- West Midlands (1,767)
- Greater Manchester (1,495)
- Bristol & Gloucestershire (1,128)
- Hampshire (992)
- Berkshire (885)
- Hertfordshire (727)
- Surrey (644)
- Nottinghamshire (617)
- Sussex (545)
- Tyne & Wear (544)
- Derbyshire (526)
- Cheshire (525)
- Cambridgeshire (497)
- Essex (485)
- Lancashire (471)
- Warwickshire (470)
- Suffolk (455)
- Merseyside (400)
- Somerset & South Bristol (388)
- Devon (377)
- Staffordshire (370)
- Buckinghamshire (343)
- Wiltshire (339)
- County Durham (335)
- Kent (335)
- Leicestershire (331)
- Oxfordshire (321)
- Bedfordshire (319)
- Dorset (291)
- Norfolk (278)
- Northamptonshire (277)
- Cornwall (272)
- Cumbria (263)
- Worcestershire (205)
- Lincolnshire (202)
- Shropshire (141)
- Isle of Wight (44)
- Northumberland (41)
- Herefordshire (33)
- Rutland (7)
- Home working with no central base (33)
- Not specified (121)
Regional data: The table below shows how those stats add up regionally in the context of the local 15 to 24 year-old population. The population figures have been extracted from the very latest ONS census data published in June 2022 and my analysis provides the following information:
- First number in bold = the latest cumulative number of vacancies for each region
- Big number in brackets = the resident population of 15 to 24-year-olds in the region using the new ONS data and rounded to the nearest 100
- Third figure in bold indexes my apprenticeship figures against the 15 to 24-year-old population. The ‘index’ shows the combined number of DAs and HAs since March 2020 per 1,000 of that population and the regions are then ‘ranked’ accordingly:
- 7,763 London (1,078,600: 7.20)
- 2,814 South West (645,800: 4.36)
- 2,985 West Midlands (720,900: 4.14)
- 2,761 East of England (685,300: 4.03)
- 4,090 South East (1,040,500: 3.93)
- 2,625 Yorkshire & Humber (670,800: 3.91)
- 3,151 North West (884,600: 3.56)
- 1,910 East Midlands (593,700: 3.22)
- 957 North East (313,000: 3.06)
- 154 Not specified / Home working
- 29,210 Total England (6,633,200: 4.40)
Whilst my data is always going to have flaws in it, the above comparisons nonetheless seem to me to raise some continuing questions about ‘levelling up’. That said, the South West being so well-placed is perhaps surprising, but Bristol has to take a lot of the credit for that.
Updated occupational analysis
Each week I update my occupational analysis by breaking down the new vacancies into what I loosely define as ‘occupational areas’, which in some cases differ from the official apprenticeship standards terminology. Since the start of lockdown in March 2020, the complete lists of occupational areas represented in each category are given below. In my view, this provides a fascinating insight into what the emerging occupations are in a changing landscape.
Degree Apprenticeships (Levels 6/7):
In total there have been 14,994 new vacancies spread across 104 occupational areas and minimum starting salaries have ranged from £5,590 to £32,000pa. The occupational breakdown is as follows:
2,988 Police Constables
1,639 Accountancy/Tax/Audit Professionals
1,322 Digital Technology Solutions (general) *see below for details
735 Software Engineers/Developers
729 Chartered Managers (general)
584 Nurses (474 Adult, 86 Mental Health, 19 Learning Disability, 5 Child)
557 Civil Engineers
480 Chartered Quantity Surveyors
452 Data Scientists/Analysts/Engineers
403 Project Managers
370 Chartered Building/Property/Land Surveyors
279 Electrical/Electronic Engineers
273 Design & Development Engineers
266 Supply Chain Leaders
222 Food Technology/Production/Manufacturing Professionals
217 Digital Marketing Professionals
212 Cyber Security Professionals
184 Manufacturing Engineers
161 Nuclear Engineers/Scientists
161 Sales Professionals
159 Retail Leaders
149 Financial Services Professionals
137 Building Services Design Engineers
135 Solicitors
131 Laboratory Scientists
124 Professional Economists
113 Aerospace Engineers
109 Environmental Practitioners
104 Construction Managers
98 Healthcare Science Practitioners (13 Biomedical Science, 13 Cardiac Physiology, 11 Nuclear Medicine Technology, 10 Medical & Clinical Engineering, 10 Neurophysiology, 10 Respiratory Physiology & Sleep Science, 8 Radiation & Radiotherapy Engineering, 7 Radiation & Radiotherapy Physics, 6 Audiology, 5 Digital Healthcare Science, 3 Bioinformatics, 1 Rehabilitation Engineering, 1 Renal Specialist)
95 Network Engineers
78 Hospital Operating Department Practitioners
75 Railway/Rail Systems Engineers
73 Digital User Experience (UX) Design Professionals
67 Control Engineers
60 Non-Destructive Testing Engineers
47 Electro-Mechanical/Mechatronics Engineers
45 Radiographers (30 Diagnostic, 15 Therapeutic)
44 Materials Scientists/Technologists/Engineers
43 Chartered Managers (Hospitality)
40 Internal Audit Professionals
39 Town Planners
38 Manufacturing & Production Managers (non-food)
37 Occupational Therapists
36 Clinical Trials Specialists
36 Creative Digital Design Professionals
36 Podiatrists
36 Project Control Professionals
32 Broadcast/Media Systems Engineers
30 Recruitment Professionals
29 Building Control Surveyors
29 Social Workers
27 Business Analysts
27 Chemical Engineers
25 Packaging Professionals
24 Chartered Rural Surveyors
24 Environmental Health Officers
22 Transport Planners
20 Human Resources Professionals
19 Weapons Munitions & Explosives Engineers
17 Architectural Technologists
17 Journalists
16 Public Health Practitioners
15 Architectural Assistants
15 Geotechnical Engineers
15 Junior Traders (Global Financial Markets)
15 Professional Foresters
14 GIS / Geospatial Mapping & Surveying Professionals
14 Marketing Managers
12 Insurance Professionals
11 Physiotherapists
9 Business Managers (Social Change)
8 Agricultural/Horticultural Advisers
8 Gas Transmission Engineers
8 Propulsion Engineers
6 Actuarial Professionals
6 Sport Development Officers
5 Chartered Legal Executives
5 Fire Safety Engineers
5 Operations Analysts
4 Assistant Teachers / Learning Coaches
4 Compliance & Risk Specialists
4 Speech & Language Therapists
3 Building Information Modelling (BIM) Specialists
3 Buying & Procurement Professionals
3 Digital Transformation Engineers
3 Fitness/Leisure Centre Managers
3 TV Production Managers
2 Education Technology Specialists
2 Midwives
2 Pensions Professionals
2 Tax Technologists
1 Brewer
1 Charity Manager
1 Community Centre Manager
1 Environmental Engineer
1 Events Manager
1 Facilities Manager
1 Human Performance Engineer
1 Investment Banking Specialist
1 Lighting Designer
1 Marine Engineer
1 Population Health Intelligence Analyst
1 Prosthetist & Orthotist
*Digital Technology Solutions (general) has encompassed or led to the following range of specialisms:
Software Engineer, Software Developer, Software Tester, Network Engineer, Data Scientist, Data Analyst, Global Data Analyst, Data Architect, Network Architect, Enterprise Architect, Cyber Security Specialist, IT Consultant, Solutions Consultant, Software Implementation Consultant, Software Consultant, Technical/Tech Consultant, Functional Consultant, Project Manager, Project Co-ordinator, Business Intelligence Specialist, Business Systems Engineer/Developer, Automation Developer, Automation Test Developer, Full Stack Developer, Digital Developer, Digital Solutions Architect, Technology Architect, Technology Manager, Innovation Technologist, Innovation Design Analyst, Agile Analyst, Applications Support Analyst, Technical Support Analyst, Business Analyst, Global Mobility Analyst, Content Analyst, Security Operations Analyst, Process Mining Analyst, SAP Analyst, User Experience Researcher, Junior Product Manager, Infrastructure Specialist, FinTech Specialist, DevOps Engineer, Solutions Engineer, Digital Solutions Engineer, Systems Engineer, Automation Engineer, IT Support Engineer, Service Desk Engineer, Cloud Engineer, Quality Assurance Engineer, Sales Engineer, Sales Account Manager, Sales Operations Manager, Scientific Computing Specialist, Platform Manager, Service Manager, Engineering Information Manager, Amazon Web Services Specialist, Supervisory Control & Data Acquisition Specialist, Fixed Telecoms Specialist, Operations Support Analyst, Support Desk Analyst, IT Support Analyst, IT Service Desk Analyst, IT/Computing Technician, 2nd Line Support Technician, WordPress Developer, Technology Operations & Service Delivery Specialist, Digital Manufacturing Engineer, Electronic Systems Design & Development Engineer, Solution Engineering & Development Specialist, Client Delivery Specialist, Client Success Specialist, Client Consultant, Operations Resilience & Change Specialist, Microsoft 365 Product Specialist, Innovation Foundry Specialist, Continuous Improvement & Automation Specialist and Railway Signalling Control Systems Specialist.
That’s some list and it keeps growing.
Higher Apprenticeships (Levels 4/5):
In total there have been 14,216 new vacancies spread across 137 occupational areas and minimum starting salaries have ranged from £5,002 to £35,000pa. The occupational breakdown is as follows:
1,401 Sales Executives
1,093 Software Developers
1,026 Data Analysts
998 Project Management Associates
941 Trainee Accountants / Accounting Technicians
582 School/Community Sports Coaches
415 Nursing Associates
395 Manufacturing Engineering Technicians
393 Construction Site Supervisors
384 Business Analysts
337 Network Engineers
333 Taxation Technicians
287 Software Testers
277 Quantity Surveying Technicians
254 Public Relations & Communications Assistants
247 Cyber Security Technologists
240 Commercial Procurement & Supply Practitioners
234 Retail Assistant Managers
229 Civil/Site Engineering Technicians
201 Children/Youth/Family Practitioners
199 Building Services Engineering Technicians
187 Buying & Merchandising Specialists
182 Technician Scientists
175 Electrical/Electronic Engineering Technicians
171 Policy Officers (Central/Local Government)
156 Insurance Practitioners
154 Investment Operations Specialists
150 Reablement Associate Practitioners (NHS)
140 Marketing Executives
131 Associate Ambulance Practitioners
128 DevOps Engineers
118 Regulatory Compliance Officers
114 Early Years Lead Practitioners
96 Junior Management Consultants
87 Construction Design & Build Technicians
82 Healthcare Science Associates (22 Audiology & Hearing Aid Dispensers, 15 Bio/Medical Engineering Technicians, 15 Cardiorespiratory & Sleep Physiology, 8 MRI Radiography, 6 Genetics Technology, 4 Mammography, 4 Speech Therapy, 2 Medical Physics, 2 Phlebotomy, 1 Biochemistry, 1 Neurophysiology, 1 Rehabilitation Engineering, 1 Tissue Retrieval)
80 Human Resources Specialists
77 Food Technology/Engineering/Production Technicians
77 Nuclear Technicians
74 Quality Practitioners
73 Mineral Products Technicians
70 Recruitment Resourcers/Consultants
61 Financial Advisers/Paraplanners
56 Healthcare Associate Practitioners (general/unspecified)
51 Internal Audit Practitioners
50 Corporate Responsibility & Sustainability Practitioners
47 Actuarial Technicians
47 Hospitality Managers
46 Adult Social Care Lead Practitioners
46 Vehicle Damage Assessors
42 Automotive Engineering/Propulsion Technicians
39 Brewers
38 Intelligence Analysts
35 Journalists
34 Revenue & Welfare Benefits Officers
34 TV/Media Production Co-ordinators
33 Business Improvement Practitioners
32 Automation & Control Engineers
32 Learning/Skills & Development Practitioners
31 Dairy Technologists
29 Railway Engineering Technicians
26 Ordnance Munitions & Explosives Technicians
24 Operations Managers
21 Estate Agency Negotiators
21 Housing/Property/Lettings Managers
18 Market Research Executives
15 Fibre Cable Engineers
15 Smart Energy Engineers
14 Countryside Rangers
14 Police Community Support Officers
12 Broadcast & Media Systems Technicians
12 Engineer Surveyors
12 Land Referencers
12 Paralegals
11 Digital Community Managers
11 Hygiene Specialists
10 Football Coaches
10 Information Managers
9 Naval Architects / Marine Engineering Technicians
9 Railway/Passenger Transport Operations Managers
8 Acoustics Technicians
8 Emergency Medical Technicians
8 Employability Practitioners
8 Film/TV Post-Production Technical Operators
7 Computer Games Developers
7 Counter Fraud Investigators
6 Facilities Managers
6 Fire Safety Inspectors
6 School Business Professionals
5 Antisocial Behaviour & Community Safety Officers
5 Architectural Technicians
5 BEMS Control Engineers (Building Energy Management Systems)
5 Rehabilitation Officers (Visual Impairment)
5 Visual Merchandisers
4 Aircraft Certifying Technicians
4 Gymnastics/Trampoline Coaches / Rebound Therapists
4 Unified Communications Trouble Shooters
3 Applications Support Leads
3 Dental Technicians
3 Fashion & Textiles Technologists
3 Pensions Administrators
3 Port Marine Operations Officers
3 Senior Culinary Chefs
3 Space Engineering Technicians
3 Sports Development Officers
3 Town Planning Assistants
3 Utilities Technicians
2 Arboriculturists
2 Auctioneers
2 Building Information Modelling (BIM) Technicians
2 Early Intervention Practitioners
2 Historic Site Advisers
2 Music Recording Technicians
2 Tax Technology Technicians
2 VFX Artists
2 Water Recycling Engineers
1 Chaplain
1 Chemical Process Technician
1 Clinical Coder
1 Community Energy Specialist
1 Cultural Heritage Conservation Technician
1 Customs & Foreign Exchange Expert
1 Digital Accessibility Specialist
1 Fitness Club Manager
1 Fitness Instructor
1 Health Informatics Specialist
1 Horticultural / Landscape Design Practitioner
1 Junior Energy Manager
1 Lighting Designer
1 Metrology Technician
1 Padel Coach
1 Payroll Assistant Manager
1 Tennis Coach
1 Travel Agent
1 Wedding Accessories Designer
1 Wedding Venue Co-ordinator
Going forward
All being well I will continue posting frequent updates, usually on Sunday nights or Monday mornings.
As from 1st June I have also started to track Degree and Higher Apprenticeships in Wales and Northern Ireland and Level 6/7 apprenticeships in Scotland. I’ve always been very conscious that my blog only covers England and I intend to redress this with occasional reports starting as soon as I have enough data to give it some validity.
© Alan Bullock Careers, 2/10/2022